izvorni znanstveni rad
This paper gives accent to wind power production in Adriatic wind conditions, especially to wind conditions in Croatian Control Area. It refers to specifics of wind power generation and integration of relatively unpredictable power production in to power system. The only way to ensure safe power control in the power system and safe power supply is accurate wind power forecasting with minimized forecasting error. Forecasting error can be lower or higher depended on the forecasting method and the accuracy of the input data. Efficient integration of big amount of wind energy in power system located in area with variable nature of wind depends on efficient wind power forecasting. Acceptability of forecasting error varies depending on the application of forecasts. Special attention has been paid to the statistical prediction method, the uncertainty of such forecasts, and the manner in which the respective error indicators can be used to improve the prognosis, and thereby reduce the risk of safe operation of the power system.
Adriatic; wind; power; forecast; error
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